Bankruptcy is the biggest faux pas in fashion retail. What factors drove iconic women's clothing store Francesca's Holdings Corporation towards a Chapter 11 filing?
CreditRiskMonitor subscribers gained immense knowledge of Francesca's bankruptcy risk by using our proprietary FRISK® score. Our FRISK® score model incorporates four powerful risk inputs:
- “Merton”-type model of stock market capitalization and volatility
- Financial ratios, including those used in the Altman Z”-Score Model
- Bond agency ratings from Fitch, Moody's, and DBRS Morningstar
- Website click pattern data from CreditRiskMonitor® subscribers, representing key credit decision-makers at more than 35% of current Fortune 1000 companies plus thousands of other large companies worldwide
Basically, every single day, our clients get the most accurate read on whether or not public companies are in danger of bankruptcy. Francesca's showed a FRISK® score of "1" for the last three months before going belly up:
So what does a FRISK® score of "1" indicate? It tells the subscriber that Francesca's was up to 50x more likely to file for bankruptcy than the average public company and needed immediate action. For more than a decade, the FRISK® score has been helping thousands adjust terms, pivot to new counterparties and/or avoid massive write-downs.
Download the free report to learn more.
Our FRISK® score model incorporates four powerful risk inputs:
- “Merton”-type model of stock market capitalization and volatility
- Financial ratios, including those used in the Altman Z”-Score Model
- Agency ratings
- Website click pattern data from CreditRiskMonitor® subscribers, representing key credit decision-makers at nearly 40% of current Fortune 1000 companies plus thousands of other large companies worldwide
Since the start of 2017, the FRISK® score’s rate of success in capturing public company bankruptcy is 96%. In any given year, you can count on one hand the times we miss – and in those outlier cases, the circumstances deal with unusual, unforeseen events such as natural disasters and CEO fraud.
Download the free report to learn more.
About Bankruptcy Case Studies
CreditRiskMonitor® Bankruptcy Case Studies provide post-filing analyses of public company bankruptcies. Our case studies educate subscribers about methods they can apply to assess bankruptcy risk using our proprietary FRISK® score, robust financial database, and timely news alerts.
In nearly every case, a low FRISK® score gave our subscribers early warning of financial distress within a one-year time horizon. Our proprietary FRISK® score predicts bankruptcy risk at public companies with 96% accuracy. The score is formulated by a number of indicators including stock market capitalization and volatility, financial ratios, agency ratings, and crowdsourced behavioral data from a subscriber group that includes nearly 40% of the Fortune 1000 and thousands more worldwide.
Whether you are new to credit analysis or have decades of experience under your belt, CreditRiskMonitor® Bankruptcy Case Studies offer unique insights into the business and financial decline that precedes bankruptcy.